Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-23 0.007861 0.009269 0.010964 0.013187 0.016077 0.019782 0.025019
2025-03-30 0.005840 0.007417 0.009530 0.012673 0.017429 0.024736 0.037696
2025-04-06 0.004818 0.006413 0.008705 0.012423 0.018712 0.029867 0.054068
2025-04-13 0.004266 0.005898 0.008382 0.012722 0.020841 0.037398 0.081992
2025-04-20 0.003949 0.005649 0.008377 0.013492 0.024072 0.049118 0.136646
2025-04-27 0.003651 0.005369 0.008249 0.013981 0.026949 0.062347 0.226738
2025-05-04 0.003338 0.005012 0.007914 0.013968 0.028704 0.074252 0.355567
2025-05-11 0.003078 0.004706 0.007612 0.013938 0.030422 0.088029 0.581315
2025-05-18 0.002823 0.004377 0.007214 0.013601 0.031191 0.099503 0.912076
2025-05-25 0.002568 0.004020 0.006712 0.012918 0.030704 0.105474 1.289219
2025-06-01 0.002365 0.003737 0.006321 0.012418 0.030615 0.113791 1.983451
2025-06-08 0.002258 0.003618 0.006242 0.012659 0.033073 0.140322 5.229115
2025-06-15 0.002117 0.003440 0.006049 0.012663 0.035113 0.172445 23.161974
2025-06-22 0.001950 0.003197 0.005694 0.012179 0.035204 0.192812 147.303918
2025-06-29 0.001822 0.003017 0.005451 0.011942 0.036215 0.226732 NaN
2025-07-06 0.001746 0.002930 0.005396 0.012225 0.039719 0.306568 NaN
2025-07-13 0.001704 0.002907 0.005482 0.012954 0.046053 0.484590 NaN
2025-07-20 0.001649 0.002849 0.005480 0.013417 0.051647 0.746238 NaN
2025-07-27 0.001572 0.002741 0.005343 0.013404 0.054623 1.022765 NaN
2025-08-03 0.001502 0.002640 0.005209 0.013376 0.057618 1.434691 NaN
2025-08-10 0.001423 0.002516 0.005006 0.013057 0.058450 1.814931 NaN
2025-08-17 0.001336 0.002367 0.004727 0.012411 0.056477 1.940106 NaN
2025-08-24 0.001264 0.002246 0.004506 0.011938 0.055582 2.215496 NaN